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Rain possible Thursday evening, cool weekend expected

Thursday: A 20 percent chance of showers after noon. Mostly sunny, with a high near 72. West wind 6 to 11 mph increasing to 15 to 20 mph in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 30 mph.

Thursday Night: Showers likely, mainly before midnight. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 33. Windy. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

Thursday National Weather Service discussion: A day comprised of multiple precipitation types and sensible hazards appears to be increasing in likelihood for portions of the forecast area. Aloft, a potent upper wave is expected to dig across the Desert Southwest and lift out into the Southern Plains through the day. Ahead of this system, continued boundary layer moistening is expected. As forcing for ascent increases by late Thursday afternoon, scattered (to perhaps widespread) showers/storms are forecast along and ahead of a surging Pacific front. Once again, given a favorable shear/lift/instability/moisture field overlap here, a few strong to severe thunderstorms are expected. Details regarding expected hazards and timing will be refined with successive updates, though at present, all severe hazards appear possible.

Friday: Sunny, with a high near 57. Windy.

Friday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 35.

Saturday: Sunny, with a high near 59.

Saturday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 36.

Sunday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 69.

Sunday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 51.

Monday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 77.

Weekend NWS discussion : While uncertainty in the overall upper pattern exists past the late week system, a consensus of ensemble guidance points towards another shortwave trough passing into the central CONUS by Saturday. At present, PoP chances look nil with the associated upper feature, with afternoon high temperatures running near to slightly above normal (upper-50s to low-60s) by Sunday. For now, a forecast of low-impact sensible weather exists for the upcoming weekend.

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